Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

The USD/JPY H4 chart displays a bullish trend, with the price currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud, a clear indication of upward momentum. Out of the last 10 candles, 6 are bullish, reinforcing the current positive sentiment. The price sits between the 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting potential room for further upside within this trend channel. The Williams %R indicator is hovering near the overbought zone, signaling a possible pullback or consolidation phase before another upward move. Traders should monitor the lower boundary of the channel for potential support and the upper boundary for breakout opportunities.

GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis: Bearish Channel Dominates

The GBP/USD currency pair, often nicknamed "Cable," reflects the exchange rate between the British Pound and the US Dollar. As one of the most traded pairs in the forex market, it is influenced heavily by macroeconomic data, central bank policies, and global economic conditions.
The GBP/USD fundamental analysis today suggests heightened volatility as several key economic indicators and events come into focus. For the GBP, the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI), including its core and retail components, is due, and its actual numbers exceeding forecasts could boost the pound due to inflationary pressures supporting a potential rate hike by the Bank of England. Additionally, BOE Deputy Governor David Ramsden's speech on monetary policy could provide clues about future interest rate trajectories. Meanwhile, on the USD side, Federal Reserve Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman will speak on monetary and economic policies, likely influencing the dollar's strength, especially if hawkish tones dominate. This mix of inflation data and high-level speeches could set the tone for Cable's forecast today, particularly as the pair struggles against bearish pressures.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBP/USD H4 chart shows that the pair is firmly entrenched in a bearish parallel channel, with prices trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a sustained GBPUSD bearish trend. Additionally, a recent crossover on the Stochastic RSI indicates bullish divergence in oversold territory, hinting at a potential short-term corrective bounce. However, the prevailing bearish structure within the channel remains intact, suggesting sellers are still dominant. The market's inability to break above the cloud or the upper boundary of the channel could reinforce the pair’s bearish sentiment and lead to a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should monitor key support at 1.2650 and resistance near the upper channel trendline for potential trade setups.


• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

NZDUSD Fibonacci Levels Show Potential Rebound

The NZD/USD currency pair, commonly referred to as the "Kiwi," represents the exchange rate between the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the United States Dollar (USD) and is influenced by economic indicators, monetary policies, and global trade dynamics, making it a popular choice for forex traders. Today, fundamental factors could drive significant price movements, with Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee’s remarks potentially signaling future monetary policy; hawkish tones may strengthen the USD, while dovish comments could weaken it. Additionally, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index will provide insights into the US housing market outlook, impacting USD sentiment. On the NZD side, BusinessNZ’s Performance of Services Index will offer clues about service-sector expansion, and the release of Producer Price Index (PPI) data could indicate inflationary pressures in New Zealand. The G20 meeting also presents a global macroeconomic backdrop that may influence the Kiwi through risk sentiment shifts.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the H4 chart for NZD USD, the pair remains in a bearish trend within a descending channel, with candlesticks primarily moving in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands and frequently touching the lower band, confirming sustained downward pressure. Despite this, there is evidence of a short-term recovery as candles attempt to push from the lower band toward the middle band, a key resistance zone. The Fibonacci retracement levels indicate the price has bounced from the 0.236 level and is currently approaching the 0.382 level (around 0.58810), suggesting some consolidation or a potential minor correction within the broader downtrend. The Williams %R indicator, hovering near oversold levels, points to the possibility of a brief pullback, but bearish momentum remains intact unless the pair breaks above the middle Bollinger Band and sustains above the 0.382 Fibonacci level.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

EURUSD Liquidity Risks on Low Activity Day

The EURUSD pair, often referred to as the “Fiber,” is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market. This pair represents the value of the euro, the official currency of the Eurozone, relative to the US dollar, the primary global reserve currency. Today, trading may see lower liquidity and unpredictable volatility due to bank holidays in both France and the United States, marking Armistice and Veterans Day. While low liquidity days can sometimes reduce price movement, they also amplify the role of speculators, which could lead to sharp, irregular price shifts. Additionally, the upcoming Bundesbank bond auction data may provide insight into investor confidence within the Eurozone, potentially impacting EUR USD sentiment. Traders should remain cautious and monitor any unexpected volatility, especially given the variable effects of these news events.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Looking at the EURUSD H4 chart provided, the price has been trending downward, consistently staying in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands. However, recent candles show a potential bullish reversal, with the last three candles moving upwards, suggesting buyers might be stepping in. The Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly, indicating high volatility. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near oversold territory, which could hint at further upward correction if the momentum continues. From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, the price is currently between the 0.786 and 0.618 levels, suggesting a potential support area that may hold if buyers continue to show interest.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

AUDUSD Price Action: Key Support and Resistance Levels

The AUDUSD currency pair, commonly known as the "Aussie," represents the exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar. As of November 5, 2024, the pair is influenced by several key factors. The U.S. presidential election has introduced uncertainty, with polls indicating a tight race between candidates, potentially impacting market volatility and the U.S. dollar's strength. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain its cash rate at 4.35%, reflecting steady economic growth and persistent core inflation. These events are likely to affect the AUD/USD exchange rate in the near term.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the AUD/USD 4-hour chart, the pair has been in a bearish trend but is showing signs of reversal. Out of the last 25 candles, 12 have been positive, including the most recent two, indicating bullish momentum. The price is currently moving between the 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels, approaching the 0.236 line, suggesting potential upward movement. The current candle is positioned in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending upwards, reinforcing the bullish outlook.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

EURUSD Price Action Approaches Key Fibonacci Level

The EUR/USD forex pair, often nicknamed "Fiber," is one of the most traded currency pairs in the forex market, reflecting the economic relationship between the Eurozone and the United States. Today, the Euro may react to economic data releases like the S&P Global's PMI for the Eurozone, a key gauge of manufacturing health. As PMI readings above 50.0 suggest expansion and below indicate contraction, stronger-than-expected numbers could lend support to the Euro by hinting at economic resilience. Conversely, weak PMI data might add downward pressure on the Euro, signaling a slowdown. Meanwhile, U.S. data, including the Federal Reserve's lending standards and Census Bureau’s manufacturing orders, will also provide insights into the USD's strength, possibly driving EUR/USD volatility.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the EUR/USD H4 chart, we observe the price moving within a bullish channel, showing signs of shifting from a previous bearish trend. The Fiber’s price is currently trading near the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately 1.0880, indicating a potential reversal point. Bollinger Bands show the price in the upper half, suggesting moderate bullish momentum, while the recent gap at market open highlights renewed buying interest. Despite the last two bearish candles at the close of last week, the current price movement within the channel suggests further bullish potential if it breaks the 0.786 level. The RSI is positioned near the 58 level, indicating a bullish sentiment but not yet in overbought territory, leaving room for continued upward movement.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

USDJPY Bulls Eye Higher Resistance Levels

USDJPY, often regarded as a key indicator of market sentiment between the U.S. Dollar and the Japanese Yen, reflects the contrast between the USD’s strength backed by a robust U.S. economy and the JPY’s status as a safe-haven currency with historically low interest rates. The USDJPY pair on the H4 chart shows a clear bullish trend as it continues to trade above key support levels, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The pair is currently testing a resistance level at 152.800, with further resistance at 153.000 if the uptrend persists. The price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, a strong indication that bullish momentum is intact, while the RSI hovers near 58, indicating room for further upside before reaching overbought conditions. Despite the upward momentum, a break above the immediate resistance would solidify the bullish outlook.
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Chart Notes: 
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Fundamental pressures add to the bullish outlook, with stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data supporting the USD, particularly the Core PCE Price Index at 0.3% versus 0.1% expected, which bolsters the likelihood of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan’s decision to maintain its ultra-low policy rate contrasts sharply with the Fed’s approach, putting further pressure on the JPY. Any retracement attempts may find support at 151.450 and 148.900, but the prevailing uptrend remains strong unless there is a shift in economic sentiment or a technical reversal signal.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.


Capitalcore

AUDCHF H4 analysis: Bearish Momentum

AUDCHF, sometimes referred to as the “Aussie-Swiss,” represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar and the Swiss Franc, a pair often influenced by risk sentiment due to the AUD’s commodity-linked nature and the CHF’s safe-haven status. The AUDCHF pair on the H4 chart shows a clear bearish trend as it continues to trade below key resistance levels, with price action forming lower highs and lower lows. The pair is currently consolidating near a support level at 0.56666, with further supports at 0.56400 and 0.56075 if the downtrend persists. The price remains beneath the Ichimoku cloud, a strong signal that bearish momentum is intact, while the RSI hovers near 34, suggesting the pair is approaching oversold conditions. Despite nearing oversold territory, there’s no concrete sign of a reversal yet, so a break below the immediate support could lead to further declines.
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Chart Notes: 
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Fundamental pressures add to the bearish outlook, with weaker-than-expected Australian inflation data weighing on the AUD and supporting the Swiss Franc as a safe-haven. Global uncertainties continue to drive demand for the CHF, while the Australian Dollar faces potential further weakness if the Reserve Bank of Australia signals a dovish stance in response to slowing inflation. Any rebound attempts may face resistance at 0.57050, 0.57150, and 0.57375, but the prevailing downtrend remains strong unless we see a shift in economic sentiment or a technical reversal signal.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

Analyzing USD/CAD H4 Chart Ahead of U.S. Data

The USD/CAD currency pair, often called the "Loonie," is one of the major forex pairs traded globally, representing the value of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. The USD/CAD fundamental analysis today is influenced by economic data from both countries, such as U.S. durable goods orders and Canadian retail sales figures, which are critical indicators of economic performance and consumer activity. Today’s Loonie news analysis has its focus on the U.S. durable goods data and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, which may signal shifts in economic confidence and manufacturing trends. Strong U.S. data could boost the USD, pushing the pair higher, while disappointing figures may weaken the dollar, potentially leading to a decline in the USD/CAD exchange rate. On the Canadian side, traders will also monitor upcoming retail sales data and housing price indices. Strong retail sales figures could strengthen the CAD, as it would suggest robust consumer spending, the backbone of the Canadian economy. Conversely, if the data underperforms, it may weigh on the CAD, allowing USDCAD’s bullish trend to continue.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the USD/CAD H4 chart, the pair’s technical forecast today with confirmation from the Ichimoku Cloud and MACD indicators, reveals a nuanced picture. The Ichimoku Cloud shows that the price is currently above the cloud, indicating a bullish trend, but with recent candles hovering close to the cloud's upper boundary, suggesting a potential test of this support level. If the pair’s price keeps trading above the cloud, it could signify continued bullish momentum, while a break below might signal a bearish shift. The MACD indicator shows the histogram hovering near the zero line, with the MACD line and the signal line close to each other, indicating a lack of strong momentum and possible consolidation. If the MACD line crosses above the signal line and gains upward momentum, it could confirm a bullish continuation; otherwise, a downward cross may suggest increasing bearish pressure ahead.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

GBPCAD Forecast: Impact of BOE Discussions Today

GBPCAD, a forex pair that tracks the British Pound (GBP) against the Canadian Dollar (CAD), has its daily news analysis influenced by both the UK’s economic developments and Canada’s energy-driven economy. Often referred to as a "cross pair," GBPCAD is particularly sensitive to events from both the Bank of England (BOE) and the Bank of Canada (BOC). Today’s focus includes BOE Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden's and Governor Andrew Bailey's participation in discussions at the IMF and World Bank meetings. Any hints on future monetary policy or rate decisions may provide volatility for the GBP, impacting the GBP/CAD forecast. In parallel, traders should keep an eye on Canada's monetary outlook, as any signals from the BOC can influence the CAD's value, affecting this pair’s fundamental outlook.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The GBP/CAD H4 chart indicates that the pair’s price action has shown some volatility recently. The Bollinger Bands reveal that the last five candles have transitioned from the lower band towards the middle band, suggesting a short-term bullish correction. Out of these candles, three were bullish, but the recent two candles have turned bearish after touching the middle band. This indicates a rejection from the middle band and the persistence of bearish pressure. The widening of the bands suggests increased GBPCAD volatility, while the RSI remains neutral, hovering around the 50-level, indicating indecision and potential further price action testing the middle Bollinger Band.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

GBPCAD Forecast: Impact of UK Inflation Data

The GBP/CAD currency pair, often referred to as "The Beast" due to its volatility, involves the British Pound (GBP) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD). This pair’s news analysis is influenced by both the UK's macroeconomic factors and the price of oil, which impacts the Canadian economy heavily. With today's upcoming news on the UK’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), both of which are key inflation indicators, traders are likely to monitor how these reports could affect the Bank of England's stance on monetary policy. If the actual figures come in higher than expected, the GBP could see a boost due to potential interest rate hikes aimed at controlling inflation. On the CAD side, data from Canada’s housing sector and manufacturing sales will also be significant, as strong numbers here could bolster the Canadian dollar.
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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
As for the pair’s technical analysis, examining the GBP/CAD H4 chart and the MACD indicator highlights its recent price movements. The last five candles have moved from the lower part of an upward channel towards the middle, showing three consecutive green candles followed by two red ones. This shift suggests a weakening of the GBPCAD bullish trend. The MACD indicator is also showing signs of bearish momentum, as the lines converge, and the histogram reflects decreasing upward momentum. The overall pattern suggests that while the price has pulled back slightly, it remains within the channel and could either continue downwards or find support for a bullish rebound depending on upcoming economic data.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.